Archive for September, 2008
Breaking News: House prices continue to fall.
The Case Shiller index of home prices across the US was just released. Follow the link to learn about the present market in your city.
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August 2008 Home Sales Report Shows Tight Lending Hampering the Market
With news of the financial crisis and the possible federal bailout of US lenders looming over our heads, it comes as no big surprise that August existing home sales were dismal.
In brief, the numbers provided by the National Association are as follows:
- Existing home sales were down another 2.2 percent in August, bringing the drop to 9.7 percent compared to 2007 levels.
- The average sales price of an existing home fell to $203,100 compared to $224,400 one year ago.
- The inventory of existing homes on the market fell in August to a 10.4 month supply. A slight uptrend from the 10.9 month supply on the market in July.
Falling inventory levels are a bit of good news among all the bad news. But keep in mind that the slight dip in inventory is not due solely to a growing number of sales. Cancelations, listing expirations and owners who chose to withdraw their property from the market until activity picks up, also decrease the total number of homes on the market.
The current 10.4 month supply means we are still in a buyers market. An inventory of 5-6 months is usually a sign of a balanced market, with an equal number of buyers and sellers.
To read the report from the National Association of Realtors, click the link.
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Going, Going, Gone. Auction Your Home.
Real estate auctions are a fast and efficient method for selling property. They work on the principle of competitive bidding and provide an ideal situation for buyer and seller, alike.
The Benefits for Sellers Include:
- Speed- The auction selling process is swift and accelerated.
- No Negotiations- Auctions eliminate haggling, counteroffers and remove the seller from the pain of negotiating.
- No Home Showings- Buyers are given specific dates and times that the property will be Open to the Public for viewing, before bidding begins. The process eliminates the hassle’s of showing the home to numerous people, one person at a time.
- Certainty -The seller knows exactly when the property will sell, decreasing long-term carrying costs, such as mortgage payments, taxes, maintenance and insurance.
- Qualification- Potential Buyers are required to Pre-Qualify for financing before they can bid on the property.
- Exposure- Auction exposes property to a wide range of qualified buyers and the aggressive timeline to sale increases interest and urgency.
- Competition-Auctions create competition among buyers. Due to the competitive nature of auctions, it is not unusual for the auction price to exceed the price the seller would have gotten through negotiations.
- Real Value- Auction sales are live, real time events. The auction process assures that the seller that the property was sold at its real market value.
- Serious-Buyers who attend auctions arrive ready and willing to buy.
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Commercial Real Estate Values- “Watch Out Below”
While the US housing crash is certainly not breaking news, the likely crash in commercial real estate values may be.
Now bankrupt, Lehman Brothers, attempted to dump their commercial portfolio’s, without success. Insurer AIG, who will face insolvency in the absence of a bailout, also has a huge portfolio of commercial property that they will be forced to liquidate. Bank of America, Wachovia, Citibank, Merrill Lynch and other financial behemoth’s are also likely to dump billions of dollars of commercial real estate on the market, as they race to head off bankruptcy.
This progression in the collapse our financial systems spells much more misery for the US home owner. The human casualties will continue to rise, as thousands of “potential” home buyer’s will be eliminated from the housing market due to job loss. In addition, we are likely to see an increase in housing inventory, as displaced workers can no longer afford the payments on their over priced homes.
It seems the real beneficiaries of the tax payer bailouts, which doubled the US national debt, are the banks of China and Japan who hold billions of dollars in US government sponsored enterprise (GSE) debt.
So, what does this mean for you and me? In a nut shell, falling real estate values, more unemployment, more homelessness and more suffering.
Why is it happening? The policies of the Bush administration, who found it unnecessary to regulated or supervise the greedy bankers, most of whom are its friends and contributors.
Is there an upside for residential homeowners? The short upside is that the Fed will likely be forced to lower interest rates this week, which will help those who need to refinance or those who trying to qualify for a loan.
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Home Inspections–What You Should Know
The buyer’s home inspection is one of the many steps involved in selling a home, that by its nature, pits buyer against seller. No seller wants to be faced with a lengthy, and often, expensive list of repairs. No buyer wants to purchase a potential money pit.
Sellers should be prepared for the news that in a buyer’s market, buyers clearly ask for more repairs than they would have ask for a couple of years ago. Sellers need to understand that it is critical to separate the emotional or insulting nature of an inspection report from the transaction itself. And, although objectivity is a difficult task to master, seller’s should always be calm, never angry, when responding to the buyer.
Seller’s need remind themselves that the inspector works for the buyer. It is the inspector’s job to document a large list of items that may cost the buyer money down the road. This doesn’t mean the inspector thinks your home is a piece of trash or that you don’t maintain it. They are simply noting items about your home that may need attention.
So, what should the seller do after they receive a list of repair requests? Although state laws regarding inspections and repairs differ slightly, most sellers have three options.
- You can accept the entire repair request list.
- You can decline the entire repair request list.
- You can agree to part of the repair request list.
Each of the three options have a potential effect on the transaction.
If you accept the entire repair list, the deal moves forward and proceeds ultimately to the closing table. Keep in mind you have to make the requested repairs and the buyer will do a walk thru before closing to make sure the repairs are acceptable. Don’t try to save a little money by doing the work yourself, if you aren’t confident in the outcome of the job.
If you decline to make any repairs on the list, the buyer can accept the house in “as is” condition. Or, they can cancel the contract and get their earnest money refunded.
If you agree to fix some, but not all, items on the list, the buyer can cancel the contract and get their earnest money back. Or, accept the repairs you have agreed to do and proceed to closing.
Note: As a general rule, repair request negotiations are one-time affairs. They do not go back and forth with an offer and counter offer. Repair requests do not involve other terms of the contract such as price, closing date, etc.
Tomorrow, I will address what items on a repair list are reasonable requests and which should be declined. If you have an specific issues, please leave a comment in section below.
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