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10 Signs of a Bottom in Housing

Wednesday, July 22, 2009 posted by Tommi Crow

For those of us searching for signs of a bottom in the housing market, the writing is now on the wall.  The charts are bottoming out and leveling off.

10 Noteworthy observations and signs include:

  1. The rate of REO’s (real estate owned by the bank) coming onto the marketplace has slowed across the country.
  2. In May, sales prices for existing homes rose 3 percent from April levels.
  3. The number of Sold Homes surged in California, Nevada, Arizona and other hard hit area’s of the nation.
  4. Even in Las Vegas, the epicenter of the crash, sales prices are firming and seller’s are receiving near full asking price, albeit at a 50 percent discount to pre-crash levels.
  5. Inventory levels of existing and new homes has fallen in recent months.
  6. The doomsayers were wrong about runaway inflation and rising rates.  30 year fixed interest rates remain at a very attractive 5.5 percent and banks are lending money.
  7. Stocks of pubically traded home building companies have moved off their bottoms and are trading within a sustainable uptrend range.
  8. The number of housing starts increased for the first time in months.  Since financing for speculation homes is hard, if not impossible to obtain, we assume these homes are already sold before construction begins, signaling demand.
  9. Large home builders are starting to acquire select tracts of land for future development.
  10. The rate of borrowers receiving notice of foreclosure has seen a meaningful decline of late.

Finally, we have a glimpse of light at the end of a long tunnel.  While the market will surely continue to experience difficulties, news indicates that the worst may well be behind us. 

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One Response to “10 Signs of a Bottom in Housing”

  1. Hi there, I was wondering do you consider guest writers. I have been writing on this subject for quite a while now and would love to share my thoughts. Thanks.

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