Bullish Signs for Housing Sales
Friday, May 29th, 2009
Although all the news about real estate, housing and lending isn’t particularily bullish, there are some compelling new motivations for buying now. Rising interest rates, Inventory Decreases and the $8000 tax credit which expires December 1.
- Interest rates are soaring, as the dollar falls. Economists predict that the low rates we saw only a month ago, aren’t likely to return anytime soon. In April, 30 year fixed rate mortgages averaged 4.5 percent. Last week, rates hit 4.98 percent. And, this week, Bankrate.com is quoting 30 year fixed rates for prime borrowers at just over 5 percent. Note: An increase of only 1/2 percent in interest rates raises the mortgage payment for a $170,000 loan by $52/month, $624/year or $18,720/over the life of the loan.
- The deadline for qualifying for an $8000 tax credit is rapidly approaching. Although, the December 1st deadline may seem a long way off, in real estate terms it really isn’t. A lot of people are sitting on the sidelines, waiting to see if prices will drop another 1 or 2 percent over the next 6 months. Lenders are already warning us that when all those buyers rush into the market in August or September, the backlog in loan applications will mean a wait of 60-90 days to close an average loan. Note: Given that the average buyer in this market looks at over 30 homes, over a 3 month period, buyers who don’t want to miss the boat on their $8000 gift, should get serious now.
For those buyer’s hoping to time the market perfectly, we think their ship may be sailing by. Home inventories are dropping, prices are stabilizing, interest rate increases erase potential gains made by a further fall in prices and $8 grand is on the line, if the December 1 closing deadline can’t be met. Serious buyer’s should jump on board now, before they find out that the ship has sailed and they missed the boat!!
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