According to a survey by Move.com, 12.1 percent of homebuyers intend to purchase an investment property this year, compared to only 5.6 percent of buyers polled in April.
The percentage of investors shopping for property also jumps higher when it comes to foreclosed property. 42 percent of foreclosure buyers are purchasing for an investment. 57.6 percent of foreclosure shoppers plan to live in the home they buy.
The survey also shows that 23.6 percent of investors and buyers believe that home prices are already as low as they will go. Nearly 20 percent feel a sense of urgency when searching for a bargain.
Another factor motivating home buyer’s off the sidelines is the real threat of rising interest rates. Wall Street guru’s, who agree on very little, warn that lending rates will rise in the near future. With real estate prices at their lowest levels, buyers risk much more in waiting to purchase, than they do by locking in record low rates on their loan.
Prediction: We believe the leading indicator of an interest rate hike will be falling unemployment claims. When unemployment claim filings fall below 500,000 per month, a rate hike is likely!
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The latest news about home sales through October 31st, was nearly more scary than Halloween. Here are the high or low lights, depending on your market position.
Existing home sales were up 11 percent, due mostly to the $8000 tax incentives.
Sales prices were down 11 percent. Average US home price is now $177,900.
One third of all homes sales were short sales or foreclosures.
Foreclosures are up nearly 90 percent. And, the banks reported that one-third of all their foreclosures are being held off the market. Their strategy is to trickle more homes on the market, in hopes of keeping inventory lower, and therefore, prices higher. Bottom Line. There will be a huge second wave of Foreclosures hitting the market in 2010.
The loan crisis isn’t over, it’s just starting in new places with new people. Most defaulting subprime borrowers are already on the street. When picturing the new homeless, visualize the bigger, Prime borrowers. Expect foreclosures to rise dramatically in Salt Lake, Provo and Boise. Also, expect a new surge of foreclosures in upscale, step-up homes and communities.
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Great news for home buyers, sellers and owners, alike. The homebuyer tax credit has been expanded to include step up buyers, who have owned a home for 5 years. It also extends the tax credit through the end of 2010.
GREAT NEWS!
It appears that Senate Democrats have recognized the tremendous value of the First Time Homebuyers Tax Credit and odds are it will be renewed soon. At this time, it is believed that the credit will allow anyone purchasing a home, by April 30, 2010, to participate and receive the full credit available.
The credit will continue until the end of 2010, but the amount of tax credit will drop by 2 percent every 90 days. The graduated benefit should help the housing market recover into and through the 2010 summer selling season.
Here is the text of the story as reported in Bloomberg News today: Senate Democrats on Board with Credit Extension
Senate Banking Committee Chairman Chris Dodd (D-Conn.) says Senate Democrats have agreed to extend the first-time home buyer tax credit. The latest version extends the program to home sales signed not closed by April 30. Purchasers would have another 60 days to close the sale. The credit will also be expanded to include so-called step-up buyers who have lived in their current home for at least five years.
The credit would be cut slightly to a $7,290 cap. Income eligibility for first-time home buyers would stay the same, but it would rise for step-up buyers to $125,000 for individuals and $250,000 for couples. Source: Bloomberg News, Dawn Kopecki and Ryan Donmoyer (10/27/2009)
The stock market is back to 10,000, the level it reached in 1999. Sales of existing homes were up a whopping 8 percent, to the highest level seen in 2 years. The news is abuzz about an extension of the First Time Buyer Tax Credit….But, is it time to “Party like it’s 1999″???
Here is a snapshot of Friday’s real estate news. You decide.
A record number of people snapped up bargains in September. The median price of a home sold in the US fell to 174,000, down 9 percent from $191,200 one year ago. Note: The significant price drop could be blamed in part to the First Time Buyer Tax Credit which favors the lower priced homes.
Keep in mind that the homes counted as “sold” in September were actually purchased in June, July and August. No doubt the push to buy this summer had something to do with the expiring $8000 Tax Credit.
70 percent of all homes closed in September were foreclosures or distressed property.
80 percent of the homes closed, were sold for less than $250,000. The market above $250,000 has stalled and inventory is rapidly growing. And, the more expensive the home, the slower the market.
The biggest sales gains (not price gains) were seen in the hard hit cities of Miami and Orlando. Sales in Miami were up 71 percent from last year, Orlando 65 percent. Note: Prices are still falling dramatically in the Sunshine state. In Miami and Orlando prices declined more than 30 percent from last year; Tampa prices fell to $133,000, down 17 percent.
Sales of existing homes were down nearly 20 percent in Atlanta and Birmingham. Local Realtors blame job loss for lack of activity.
Prices were flat or up a bit in some cities: Dallas, Houston, San Antonio; Tulsa; Jackson, MS and Washington DC.
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For those of us searching for signs of a bottom in the housing market, the writing is now on the wall. The charts are bottoming out and leveling off.
10 Noteworthy observations and signs include:
The rate of REO’s (real estate owned by the bank) coming onto the marketplace has slowed across the country.
In May, sales prices for existing homes rose 3 percent from April levels.
The number of Sold Homes surged in California, Nevada, Arizona and other hard hit area’s of the nation.
Even in Las Vegas, the epicenter of the crash, sales prices are firming and seller’s are receiving near full asking price, albeit at a 50 percent discount to pre-crash levels.
Inventory levels of existing and new homes has fallen in recent months.
The doomsayers were wrong about runaway inflation and rising rates. 30 year fixed interest rates remain at a very attractive 5.5 percent and banks are lending money.
Stocks of pubically traded home building companies have moved off their bottoms and are trading within a sustainable uptrend range.
The number of housing starts increased for the first time in months. Since financing for speculation homes is hard, if not impossible to obtain, we assume these homes are already sold before construction begins, signaling demand.
Large home builders are starting to acquire select tracts of land for future development.
The rate of borrowers receiving notice of foreclosure has seen a meaningful decline of late.
Finally, we have a glimpse of light at the end of a long tunnel. While the market will surely continue to experience difficulties, news indicates that the worst may well be behind us.
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Sales for existing homes increased nearly 3 percent, on average, in April, slightly exceeding forecasts and expectations. The report offered hope that home sales were stabilizing and we may be at the bottom of the housing recession. Watch the short 1 minute video for more information about your local and national housing market.
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In the annual Berkshire Hathaway shareholder’s meeting, Warren Buffett, the oracle of Omaha, predicted that inflation will hit the US economy due to the financial crisis. Buffett told shareholders, “I haven’t had my taxes raised. My guess is the ultimate price will be paid by a shrinkage of the value of the dollar”.
If Warren is right, and he usually is, the average person can use his wisdom to profit with a smart real estate investment.
To invest safely, a home buyer should put 20 percent down and take out a 30 year fixed rate mortgage, locking in an interest rate around 4.5 percent. If you haven’t owned a home over the past 3 years, you can cash in immediately with the $8000 tax credit. When inflation hits, your mortgage costs will remain the same, as your salary increases. This means that you have even more money to save and invest later on.
If you are currently renting, there is another compelling reason to invest. During periods of inflation, rents will rise. If you don’t own a home, your monthly rent obiligations will soar.
Another reason to invest in real estate is that during times of inflation, home prices appreciate, if even at a slower pace. History shows that during inflationary periods, real estate appreciation tends to beat inflation by 2-3 percentage points.
Leveraged assets, such as real estate, outperform other asset classes. Leverage magnifies gains because as your income rises, your debt payments will not. You’ll be able to pay off the mortgage with money that is worth less than it was when you borrowed it.
With home prices and interest rates hovering at historic lows, now may be the perfect time for investor’s to withdraw the cash they have sitting in savings accounts that is paying only a 2-3percent and buy a piece of property. If you buy a property where the tenant covers the expenses and costs of ownership, then the investor can relax and wait for inflation to move up rents and home prices.
InfoTube.net and Warren Buffett agree that inflation, over the next 5 years, is a sure bet. And, when we get rampant inflation, real estate is the perfect hedge. Throw in low prices, cheap money, ridiculously low returns on cash investments and thousands of dollars in tax savings, and you have a powerful case for buying a home now.
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People who are gainfully employed, with solid credit, and have a down payment can buy a lot more house these days, thanks to record low interest rates and home prices.
The average interest rate for a 30 year fixed-rate mortgage fell to 4.79 percent on Wednesday, after the Fed announced that it would begin buying up bonds and mortgage-backed securities.
The real estate market has recently seen a pick up in activity due to the $8000 tax credit for first-time buyers. And, the huge drop in lending rates yesterday, put a huge layer of icing on the cake for home seller’s. When people, who can qualify for a loan to buy a home, see the combination of tax incentives, low interest rates and dramatic price drops, the ones that are sitting on the fence, jump in and buy. Urgency to buy and refinance is also important when rates fall this low, as often the drop is temporary, as it was in January 2009.
The convergence of ecomonic stimulus does benefit some Americans more than others, however. People who do not have a down payment or good credit are less likely to benefit from the postive news, as are the 14 million Americans who are upside down (owe more on their home than it is worth) or face foreclosure. More than 13,000 struggling homeowner’s are calling the Homeownership Perservation Foundation each day. The hotline for help number is 1-888-995-HOPE.
Thank you for visiting InfoTube. net homes for sale website. Spring is here. Rates are Low. House Prices are Fantastic. Tax Incentives Abound. Buyers, Get off the Fence and Lock in the Deal of Your Lifetime. The fact is you have to live somewhere, and if renting was so great, ask yourself why your landlord owns??
Homegain recently polled Realtors from across the country to learn what buyer’s and seller’s think about home pricing. The results are shown below.
Buyers think listing prices are …
Overpriced
Fairly priced
Underpriced
US
59%
18%
23%
West
51%
23%
26%
Southeast
59%
15%
26%
Midwest
63%
16%
21%
Northeast
62%
18%
20%
Vs. suggested price, owners think their home’s worth is …
Higher
Equal
Lower
US
63%
14%
23%
West
54%
16%
30%
Southeast
67%
11%
22%
Midwest
62%
17%
21%
Northeast
72%
10%
18%
Realtors think in the next 6 months, prices in their towns will …
Decrease
Stay same
Increase
US
53%
36%
11%
West
66%
27%
7%
Southeast
52%
36%
12%
Midwest
43%
42%
15%
Northeast
54%
40%
6%
To see the survey questions with more data and information CLICK HERE.
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Inman News, a leader in real estate news and publishing, is hosting its annual Real Estate Connect Conference in New York City this week.
On Wednesday, a well respected panel of industry experts sounded off during a “Bulls vs Bears” discussion of the real estate market in 2009. We were anxiously waiting to report a little good news from these real estate guru’s, but sadly there were no Bulls in attendance.
We thought our readers might be interested in the highlights, so we outlined some of the widely held opinions and sentiments expressed by the panel.
Home prices will remain unaffordable in many markets.
Until home prices reach a level that a couple on entry level salaries can afford to buy a starter home, the market will continue to correct.
With rising unemployment, it is unrealistic to expect that lower interest rates will be enough to stimulate home sales.
12 months of unsold home inventory is extremely excessive. Too many houses is another sign that a turnaround is no where in sight.
Housing will not have a V-shaped recovery, with prices rebounding quickly from a bottom. The chart will be L-shaped, with a long period where prices stay flat.
Time is our best friend. The ecomony will take years, not months to play out. At a macroeconomic level, there is no point in talking about recovery yet.
All the rescue plans, tax credits and bailouts will have little effect in the face of rising job losses, along with falling wages and confidence.
If people understand the magnitude of the problem, and they plan to stay in their home for 5-10 years, then there is no real reason they shouldn’t buy now.
No one on the panel reported that they see a glimmer of light at the end of the tunnel.
In the end, the “Bulls and Bears” session concluded with a sigh. The experts concurred that the market will still be grappling with many of the same issues it is today, one year from now. But, they are adapting to the new world order. New York Times reporter, Andrew Ross Sorkin stated that instead of spending his time writing about mergers and acquisitions, he is still busy. His new subject…Covering Bankruptcies.
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